Last updated 6/8/2020
I have graphed the number of new cases in seven-day increments versus the number of total cases. I use log-log on the axes because exponential curves show up as straight lines. Each of the 4 countries plotted form a straight line on the graph suggesting exponential growth. But in the cases of S. Korea and China the recent data fall dramatically off the exponential line suggesting their exponential growth has ceased. All this assumes the data coming from China (and Iran) is correct. On the other hand, the US, and Italy are facing future unknown exponential growth. Five other countries are graphed below with similar exponential growth = Germany, Iran, Spain, France, and UK.
Time can be thought of as moving along the colored lines/curves as the total number of cases increase. We should reach the end of the exponential growth of Coronavirus in the US (and Italy) when the data start to fall off the exponential lines downward (lower number of new cases). I will try to update the data each week. I have given the raw numbers below the graph.
I will update the graphs again in 7 days on June 15.
Raw data is from the following source: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-source-data.
If you are unfamiliar with exponential growth, I suggest the following video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=54XLXg4fYsc&fbclid=IwAR1wY95Q6IWEKcmN0EYUh-3pSfUypr5tuJPp_bR5YaIHVcKUZYpSFpT7vyg&app=desktop
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| Cases of Coronavirus in the following countries | ||||||||
| China | US | Italy | S. Korea | |||||
| New | Total | New | Total | New | Total | New | Total | |
| wk 1 | 59 | 59 | ||||||
| wk 2 | 59 | |||||||
| wk 3 | 176 | 235 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| wk 4 | 2540 | 2775 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| wk 5 | 14436 | 17211 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 |
| wk 6 | 22995 | 40206 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 |
| wk 7 | 30412 | 70618 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 30 |
| wk 8 | 6616 | 77234 | 20 | 35 | 129 | 132 | 732 | 762 |
| wk 9 | 2900 | 80134 | 54 | 89 | 1557 | 1689 | 3450 | 4212 |
| wk10 | 725 | 80859 | 465 | 554 | 5686 | 7375 | 3170 | 7382 |
| wk11 | 161 | 81020 | 3220 | 3774 | 16605 | 23980 | 854 | 8236 |
| wk12 | 629 | 81649 | 31432 | 35206 | 35158 | 59138 | 725 | 8961 |
| wk13 | 814 | 82463 | 107819 | 143025 | 38551 | 97689 | 700 | 9661 |
| wk14 | 485 | 82642 | 194610 | 337635 | 31259 | 128948 | 623 | 10284 |
| wk15 | 567 | 83209 | 219936 | 557571 | 27415 | 156363 | 253 | 10537 |
| wk16 | 608 | 83817 | 202116 | 759687 | 22609 | 178972 | 137 | 10674 |
| wk17 | 382 | 84199 | 206223 | 965910 | 18703 | 197675 | 64 | 10738 |
| wk18 | 52 | 83964 | 192131 | 1158041 | 13042 | 210717 | 63 | 10801 |
| wk19 | 46 | 84010 | 171758 | 1329799 | 8353 | 219070 | 108 | 10909 |
| wk20 | 44 | 84054 | 156958 | 1486757 | 6365 | 225435 | 156 | 11065 |
| wk21 | 41 | 84095 | 156481 | 1643238 | 4423 | 229858 | 141 | 11206 |
| wk22 | 52 | 84147 | 146953 | 1790191 | 3161 | 233019 | 297 | 11503 |
| wk23 | 44 | 84191 | 152172 | 1942363 | 1979 | 234998 | 311 | 11814 |
Here are data for additional countries.
| Cases of Coronavirus in the following countries | |||||||||||
| Germany | Iran | Spain | France | UK | |||||||
| New | Total | New | Total | New | Total | New | Total | New | Total | ||
| wk 1 | |||||||||||
| wk 2 | |||||||||||
| wk 3 | |||||||||||
| wk 4 | 3 | 3 | |||||||||
| wk 5 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | |||
| wk 6 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 4 | |||
| wk 7 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 9 | |||
| wk 8 | 0 | 15 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 13 | |
| wk 9 | 114 | 129 | 935 | 978 | 81 | 83 | 118 | 130 | 23 | 36 | |
| wk10 | 773 | 902 | 5588 | 6566 | 506 | 589 | 996 | 1126 | 237 | 273 | |
| wk11 | 3936 | 4838 | 7372 | 13938 | 7164 | 7753 | 4297 | 5423 | 1118 | 1391 | |
| wk12 | 19936 | 24774 | 7700 | 21638 | 20819 | 28572 | 10595 | 16018 | 4292 | 5683 | |
| wk13 | 32524 | 57298 | 16671 | 38309 | 50225 | 78797 | 24156 | 40174 | 13839 | 19522 | |
| wk14 | 38093 | 95391 | 19917 | 58226 | 51962 | 130759 | 30304 | 70478 | 28284 | 47806 | |
| wk15 | 27625 | 123016 | 13460 | 71686 | 35260 | 166019 | 24925 | 95403 | 36473 | 84279 | |
| wk16 | 18656 | 141672 | 10525 | 82211 | 29925 | 195944 | 17203 | 112606 | 35788 | 120067 | |
| wk17 | 13521 | 155193 | 8270 | 90481 | 18302 | 210895 | 11969 | 124575 | 32773 | 152840 | |
| wk18 | 7982 | 163175 | 6943 | 97424 | 8001 | 217466 | 6712 | 131287 | 33759 | 186599 | |
| wk19 | 6400 | 169575 | 10179 | 107603 | 6379 | 224390 | 7776 | 139063 | 32584 | 219183 | |
| wk20 | 5122 | 174697 | 12595 | 120198 | 3836 | 231606 | 3348 | 142411 | 24512 | 243695 | |
| wk21 | 3873 | 178570 | 15503 | 135701 | 3794 | 235400 | 2510 | 144921 | 15864 | 259559 | |
| wk22 | 3245 | 181815 | 15765 | 151466 | 4029 | 239429 | 6832 | 151753 | 15203 | 274762 | |
| wk23 | 2378 | 184193 | 20323 | 171789 | 2152 | 241550 | 2224 | 153977 | 11432 | 286194 | |